Uji Kausalitas : Utang Luar Negeri dan Capital Flight di Indonesia, 1974-2002

Dini Yuniarti

Abstract

Some economists have argued that there is no relationship between external debt and capital flight, while others have detected such a relation. Boyce and Ndikumana (2002) distinguish four possible causal links such as, debt-driven capital flight, debt fueled capital flight, flight-driven capital flight, and flight fueled external borrowing.
The study examines a causal relationship between external debt and capital flight of Indonesia for the period 1974-2002. We use error correction model to examine a causal rela¬tionship. We find external debt related to capital flight on Indonesia as a feedback/bilateral causality. This empirical evidence supports the debt fueled capital flight and flight fueled external borrowing hypothesis.
   
Keywords: causal relationship, external debt, capital flight

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Economic Journal of Emerging Markets (EJEM)
ISSN 2086-3128 (print), ISSN 2502-180X (online)
Published by:
Center for Economic Studies, Department of Economics,
Universitas Islam Indonesia, Indonesia.

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EJEM by http://journal.uii.ac.id/JEP/ is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.