Pendekatan Simulasi Monte Carlo Untuk Pemilihan Alternatif Dengan Decision Tree Pada Nilai Outcome Yang Probabilistik

Winda Nur Cahyo

Abstract

Tree Diagram has been familiarly known as one of the tools used to solve or to make decision for
problems  that  have  some  alternatives  of  solutions.  But  usually  the  outcome  of  the  diagram  are
deterministicly approached. This paper suggested Monte Carlo Simulation to approach the deterministic
aspect of outcome to become  probabilistic. But there are some asumtions of the diagram  must be change
to adjust the Monte Carlo Approach.
Keywords: Tree Diagram, Monte Carlo Simulation, Decision Analysis.

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