Main Article Content

Abstract

An insolvency and financial health prediction model is an important warning to decision-makers. This study aims to design a model that provides numbers and ranges for prediction of company insolvency and financial health. The study population is all the listed companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, while the sample consists of 216 companies that had negative equity from 2010 to 2019 and 216 companies with positive equity. The independent variables include the solvency and profitability ratios in one and two years before the insolvency. Logistic regression was used as an analysis tool. The results are 24 prediction models. The comprehensive one revealing the solvency ratio in the previous one year and the profitability ratio in the previous one and two years can predict the probability of insolvency and financial health.

Keywords

Financial Health Financial Distress Insolvency Leverage

Article Details

Author Biography

Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Sumatera Utara, Medan, Indonesia

Khaira Amalia Fachrudin, completed a bachelor's degree in accounting from the Universitas Sumatera Utara in 1996, completed a Master of Business Administration Programme from Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia in 1999, and completed a doctoral degree in the area of finance from Brawijaya University in 2007 . Currently, she has a position as associate professor  at the Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Sumatera Utara