Main Article Content
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of Fama-French five-factor and momentum factor on Islamic stock portfolio excess returns listed in the Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI).
Methodology – This study used return data from ISSI group, starting from January 2013 to December 2017, which are then formed into time series data with excess monthly stock portfolio. This study adapted the Fama and French (2015) methodology using 2x3 and 2x2 to form the portfolio and applied Ordinary Least Square (OLS) with monthly data frequency to test the relevance of the model to the expected stock return of 183 companies.
Findings – The results showed that the risk premium, the book-to-market ratio which is proxied by High Minus Low (HML), the investment that is proxied by Conservative Minus Aggressive (CMA), and the momentum which is proxied by Up Minus Down (UMD) has a positive effect on the excess return of the company's stock portfolio registered in Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) during the period. While, the size and profitability variable do not affect the expected stock return.
Research limitations – The results of this study provides relevant information about the relationship between risk and stock return using Fama and French five-factor model and momentum. However, future researchers can expand the scale of the research by adding research periods and using daily return research data. It is intended that the results are more representative of the actual market conditions at the moment.
Originality – Researches on the factors that influence the selection of Islamic stock portfolios based on excess return using Fama-French five-factor including the momentum factor are still limited. This study contributes to the asset pricing development by investigating factors influencing performance of ISSI’s portfolio excess return using five-factor model and momentum factor.
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References
- Acaravci, S. K., & Karaomer, Y. (2017). Fama-French Five-Factor Model: Evidence from Turkey. International Journal of Economics and Financial, 7(6), 130–137. Retrieved from https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/5822
- Baker, H. Kentt., & G. Filbeck. (2013). Portfolio Theory & Management. New York: Oxford University Press.
- Banz, R.B. (1981). The Relationship between Return and Market Value of CommonStock. Journal of Financial Economic 9, 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0
- Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2014). Corporate Finance Third Edition. Boston: Pearson Education.
- Breeden, D.T., Michael R.G., & Robert H.L. (1989). Empirical Test of the Consumption-Oriented CAPM. The Journal of Finance, 44(2), 231-262. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328589
- Brigham, E. F., & Erchardt, M. C. (2015). Financial Management Theory & Practice. Canada: Cengage Learning.
- Boussaidi, R., & Dridi, G. (2020). The Momentum Effect in the Tunisian Stock Market: Risk Hypothesis vs. under Reaction Hypothesis. Borsa Istanbul Review, 20(2), 178-195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.01.002
- Candika, Y. I. (2017). Pengujian Kekuatan Model Carhart Empat Faktor Terhadap Excess Return Saham di Indonesia. The Indonesian Journal of Applied Bussiness, 1(1), 1-15. https://doi.org/10.20473/tijab.V1.I1.2017.60-74
- Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. Journal of Finance 52(1), 57-82. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2329556
- Chiah, M., Chai, D., & A. Zhong. (2015). A Better Model? An Empirical Investigation of Fama-French Five-Factor Model in Australia. Proc, Monash Business School, Monash University. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn
- Darusman, D., & Prasetiono. (2012). Analisis Pengaruh Firm Size, Book-to-market Ratio, Price Earniing Ratio, dan Momentum Terhadap Return Portofolio Saham. Diponegoro Journal Of Management, 1(4), 212-225. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/djom/article/view/801
- Doukas, J. A., & McKnight, P. J. (2005). European Momentum Strategies, Information Diffusion, and Investor Conservatism. European Financial Management, 11(3), 313-338. http://doi.org/10.1111/j.1354-7798.2005.00286.x
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Return. Journal of Finance 47,472-465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2004). The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18 (3), 25-46. https://doi.org/10.1257/0895330042162430
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2006). Profitability, Investment, and Average Return. Journal of Financial Economics, 82(3), 491-518. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.09.009
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2012). Size, Value, and Momentum in International Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 105(3), 457-472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.05.011
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R.(2015). A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.10.010
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2017). International test of a five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 123(3), 441-463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.11.004
- Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2018). Choosing Factors. Journal of Financial Economics, 128(2), 234–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.02.012
- Fan, S., Opsal, S., & Yu, L. (2015). Equity Anomalies and Idiosyncratic Risk Around the World. Multinational Finance Journal, 19(1), 33-75. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2611047
- Foye, J. (2018). A Comprehensive Test of the Fama-French Five-Factor Model in Emerging Markets. Emerging Markets Review. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2018.09.002
- Geczy, C., & Samonov, M. (2016). Two Centuries of Price-return Momentum. Financial Analysts Journal, 72(5), 32-56. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v72.n5.1
- Gleny & Tjong, W. (2014). Pengaruh Strategi Value, Size dan Momentum terhadap Excess Return di Indonesia. Jurnal Sosial Humaniora, 7(2). http://dx.doi.org/10.12962/j24433527.v7i2.587
- Groot, de Wilma,Pang. J., & Swinkels. L. (2012). The cross-section of stock returns in frontier emerging markets.Journal of Empirical Finance 19(5),796-818. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2012.08.007
- Hartono, J. (2014). Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi. Yogyakarta: BPFE-Yogyakarta.
- Huang, T.L. (2019). Is the Fama and French Five-factor Model Robust in the Chinese Stock Market? Asia Pasifik Management Review, 24(3), 278-289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apmrv.2018.10.002
- Husein, F.,& Mahfud, M. K.(2015). Analisis Pengaruh Distress Risk, Firm Size, Book to Market Ratio, Return on Assets, Debt to Equity Ratio Terhadap Return Saham. Diponegoro Journal of Management, 4(3), 448-462. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/djom/article/view/13235
- Husnan, S. (2009). Dasar-dasar Teori Portofolio & Analaisis Sekuritas. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.
- Jegadessh, N.,& Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1),65-91. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328882
- Kowanda, D., & Pasaribu, R. B. F. (2012). Strategi Investasi Momentum: Profit Momentum Portofolio Pemenang-pecundang di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis, 6(2), 109-136. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/248321963
- Kubota, K.,& Takehara, H. (2018). Does the Fama and French Five-factor Model Work Well in Japan?.International Review of Finance, 18(1), 137-146. https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12126
- Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974
- Meidawati, N., Riantika, R.L., & Amalia, R.F. (2020). Determinant Factor Influencing Financial Performance LQ45 Corporation. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam, 6(1), 42-54. https://doi.org/10.20885/jeki.vol6.iss1.art5
- Nartea, G. V., Ward, B. D., & Djajadikerta, H. G. (2009). Size, BM, and Momentum Effects and the Robustness of the Fama-French Three-factor Model: Evidence from New Zealand. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 5(2), 179–200. https://doi.org/10.1108/17439130910947895
- Novy-Mark, R. (2013). The Other Side of Value: The Gross Profitability Premium. Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.01.003
- Pasaribu, R. B. F. (2010). Pemilihan Model Asset Pricing. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen, 21(3), 217-230. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=1837466
- Reinganum, Marc R. (1981). A New Empirical Perspective on The CAPM. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 16(4), 439-462. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2330365
- Ross, S. A., Westerfield, et al. (2015). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill Education (Asia).
- Sudiyatno, B., & Irsad, M.(2011). Menguji Model Tiga Faktor Fama dan French Dalam Mempengaruhi Return Saham: Studi Pada Saham LQ45 di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Bisnis dan Ekonomi, 18(2), 126–136. URL: https://www.unisbank.ac.id/ojs/index.php/fe3/article/view/2095
- Sutrisno, B.,& Ekaputra, I. A. (2016). Uji Empiris Model Aset Pricing Lima Faktor Fama-French di Indonesia. Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan, 20(3), 343–357. Retrieved from http://jurnal.unmer.ac.id/index.php/jkdp/article/view/287
- Tandelilin, E. (2010). Portofolio dan Investasi, Teori dan Aplikasi. Yogyakarta: Penerbit Kanisius.
- Yang, Q, et al. (2017). Analysis of the US Sector of Services with A New Fama-French 5-factor Model. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 08(09), 1307–1319. https://doi.org/10.4236/am.2017.89096.
- Wijaya, S. C., Murhadi, W. R., & M. Utami. (2015). Analisis Fama French Five Factor Model dan Three Factor Model Dalam Menjelaskan Return Portofolio Saham. Conference Paper: Roundtable for Indonesia Entrepreneurship Educators (RIEE)-5, Medan. Retrieved from http://repository.ubaya.ac.id/id/eprint/34225
- Zaremba, A., & Shemer, J. K. (2018a). Is There Momentum in Factor Premia? Evidence from International Equity Markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 46(C), 120-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.12.002
- Zubir, Z. (2013). Manajemen Portofolio Penerapannya dalam Investasi Saham. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
References
Acaravci, S. K., & Karaomer, Y. (2017). Fama-French Five-Factor Model: Evidence from Turkey. International Journal of Economics and Financial, 7(6), 130–137. Retrieved from https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/5822
Baker, H. Kentt., & G. Filbeck. (2013). Portfolio Theory & Management. New York: Oxford University Press.
Banz, R.B. (1981). The Relationship between Return and Market Value of CommonStock. Journal of Financial Economic 9, 3-18. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(81)90018-0
Berk, J., & DeMarzo, P. (2014). Corporate Finance Third Edition. Boston: Pearson Education.
Breeden, D.T., Michael R.G., & Robert H.L. (1989). Empirical Test of the Consumption-Oriented CAPM. The Journal of Finance, 44(2), 231-262. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328589
Brigham, E. F., & Erchardt, M. C. (2015). Financial Management Theory & Practice. Canada: Cengage Learning.
Boussaidi, R., & Dridi, G. (2020). The Momentum Effect in the Tunisian Stock Market: Risk Hypothesis vs. under Reaction Hypothesis. Borsa Istanbul Review, 20(2), 178-195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2020.01.002
Candika, Y. I. (2017). Pengujian Kekuatan Model Carhart Empat Faktor Terhadap Excess Return Saham di Indonesia. The Indonesian Journal of Applied Bussiness, 1(1), 1-15. https://doi.org/10.20473/tijab.V1.I1.2017.60-74
Carhart, M. M. (1997). On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. Journal of Finance 52(1), 57-82. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2329556
Chiah, M., Chai, D., & A. Zhong. (2015). A Better Model? An Empirical Investigation of Fama-French Five-Factor Model in Australia. Proc, Monash Business School, Monash University. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn
Darusman, D., & Prasetiono. (2012). Analisis Pengaruh Firm Size, Book-to-market Ratio, Price Earniing Ratio, dan Momentum Terhadap Return Portofolio Saham. Diponegoro Journal Of Management, 1(4), 212-225. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/djom/article/view/801
Doukas, J. A., & McKnight, P. J. (2005). European Momentum Strategies, Information Diffusion, and Investor Conservatism. European Financial Management, 11(3), 313-338. http://doi.org/10.1111/j.1354-7798.2005.00286.x
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Return. Journal of Finance 47,472-465. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1992.tb04398.x
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2004). The Capital Asset Pricing Model: Theory and Evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18 (3), 25-46. https://doi.org/10.1257/0895330042162430
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2006). Profitability, Investment, and Average Return. Journal of Financial Economics, 82(3), 491-518. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.09.009
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2012). Size, Value, and Momentum in International Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 105(3), 457-472. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.05.011
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R.(2015). A Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.10.010
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2017). International test of a five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 123(3), 441-463. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.11.004
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2018). Choosing Factors. Journal of Financial Economics, 128(2), 234–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.02.012
Fan, S., Opsal, S., & Yu, L. (2015). Equity Anomalies and Idiosyncratic Risk Around the World. Multinational Finance Journal, 19(1), 33-75. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=2611047
Foye, J. (2018). A Comprehensive Test of the Fama-French Five-Factor Model in Emerging Markets. Emerging Markets Review. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2018.09.002
Geczy, C., & Samonov, M. (2016). Two Centuries of Price-return Momentum. Financial Analysts Journal, 72(5), 32-56. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v72.n5.1
Gleny & Tjong, W. (2014). Pengaruh Strategi Value, Size dan Momentum terhadap Excess Return di Indonesia. Jurnal Sosial Humaniora, 7(2). http://dx.doi.org/10.12962/j24433527.v7i2.587
Groot, de Wilma,Pang. J., & Swinkels. L. (2012). The cross-section of stock returns in frontier emerging markets.Journal of Empirical Finance 19(5),796-818. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2012.08.007
Hartono, J. (2014). Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi. Yogyakarta: BPFE-Yogyakarta.
Huang, T.L. (2019). Is the Fama and French Five-factor Model Robust in the Chinese Stock Market? Asia Pasifik Management Review, 24(3), 278-289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apmrv.2018.10.002
Husein, F.,& Mahfud, M. K.(2015). Analisis Pengaruh Distress Risk, Firm Size, Book to Market Ratio, Return on Assets, Debt to Equity Ratio Terhadap Return Saham. Diponegoro Journal of Management, 4(3), 448-462. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/djom/article/view/13235
Husnan, S. (2009). Dasar-dasar Teori Portofolio & Analaisis Sekuritas. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN.
Jegadessh, N.,& Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1),65-91. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2328882
Kowanda, D., & Pasaribu, R. B. F. (2012). Strategi Investasi Momentum: Profit Momentum Portofolio Pemenang-pecundang di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis, 6(2), 109-136. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/248321963
Kubota, K.,& Takehara, H. (2018). Does the Fama and French Five-factor Model Work Well in Japan?.International Review of Finance, 18(1), 137-146. https://doi.org/10.1111/irfi.12126
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91. https://doi.org/10.2307/2975974
Meidawati, N., Riantika, R.L., & Amalia, R.F. (2020). Determinant Factor Influencing Financial Performance LQ45 Corporation. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Keuangan Islam, 6(1), 42-54. https://doi.org/10.20885/jeki.vol6.iss1.art5
Nartea, G. V., Ward, B. D., & Djajadikerta, H. G. (2009). Size, BM, and Momentum Effects and the Robustness of the Fama-French Three-factor Model: Evidence from New Zealand. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 5(2), 179–200. https://doi.org/10.1108/17439130910947895
Novy-Mark, R. (2013). The Other Side of Value: The Gross Profitability Premium. Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.01.003
Pasaribu, R. B. F. (2010). Pemilihan Model Asset Pricing. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Manajemen, 21(3), 217-230. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=1837466
Reinganum, Marc R. (1981). A New Empirical Perspective on The CAPM. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 16(4), 439-462. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/2330365
Ross, S. A., Westerfield, et al. (2015). Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. McGraw-Hill Education (Asia).
Sudiyatno, B., & Irsad, M.(2011). Menguji Model Tiga Faktor Fama dan French Dalam Mempengaruhi Return Saham: Studi Pada Saham LQ45 di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Bisnis dan Ekonomi, 18(2), 126–136. URL: https://www.unisbank.ac.id/ojs/index.php/fe3/article/view/2095
Sutrisno, B.,& Ekaputra, I. A. (2016). Uji Empiris Model Aset Pricing Lima Faktor Fama-French di Indonesia. Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan, 20(3), 343–357. Retrieved from http://jurnal.unmer.ac.id/index.php/jkdp/article/view/287
Tandelilin, E. (2010). Portofolio dan Investasi, Teori dan Aplikasi. Yogyakarta: Penerbit Kanisius.
Yang, Q, et al. (2017). Analysis of the US Sector of Services with A New Fama-French 5-factor Model. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 08(09), 1307–1319. https://doi.org/10.4236/am.2017.89096.
Wijaya, S. C., Murhadi, W. R., & M. Utami. (2015). Analisis Fama French Five Factor Model dan Three Factor Model Dalam Menjelaskan Return Portofolio Saham. Conference Paper: Roundtable for Indonesia Entrepreneurship Educators (RIEE)-5, Medan. Retrieved from http://repository.ubaya.ac.id/id/eprint/34225
Zaremba, A., & Shemer, J. K. (2018a). Is There Momentum in Factor Premia? Evidence from International Equity Markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 46(C), 120-130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.12.002
Zubir, Z. (2013). Manajemen Portofolio Penerapannya dalam Investasi Saham. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.