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Abstract
The financial crisis in the United State on September 2008 has created global impact to the world economy, including the performace of capital markets. Most of market indexes around the world fall down significantly, including market indexes in Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). There were five market index in BEI, namely IHSG, LQ 45, MBX, DBX, and JII. This research is mainly aim to examine the influence of the US financial crisis to the performace of JII and IHSG. In addition, the relation of JII and IHSG to DowJones Index, Tokyo Index, and Hongkong Index are also examined. To get the aim done, a Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) is utilized. VAR is an appropriate model to examine a simultaneous relationship with capability to tract impulse response among variables. The research findings show the US financial crisis has created significant shocks toward JII and IHSG during September to October 2008. Both IHSG and JII has constantly decrease during 8 weeks, but IHS was getting recovered quicker than JII. The investment rather than speculation motive of the players in JII cound be the answer for this finding.
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References
- Gujarati, Damodar N, Basic Econometrics, 4th edition, McGraw-Hill, Inc, New York. 2003.
- Hatter Mary Louise, Macroeconomics for Management, 2nd edition, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1996.
- Huda Nurul, Mustafa Edwin Nasution, Investasi Pada Pasar Modal Syariah, Kencana, 2007.
- Laboratorium Komputasi Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi FEUI, Modul Analisa Software Ekonometrika. 2005
- Lestari Murti, Pengaruh variabel makro terhadap return saham di Bursa Efek Jakarta Pendekatan beberapa model, Paper Seminar Nasional Akuntansi VIII, 2005
- Roberts S Pindyck and Daniel, L Rubinfeld, 1998, Econometric Models and Economic Forecast, 4th edition, Irwin Mcgraw-hill, New York.
- Nahrowi Djalal, Hardius Eko, Memahami Model ARCH dan GARCH, Bahan Kuliah Ekonometri 2, Program Ilmu Akuntansi, FEUI.
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- Ludovicus Sensi Wondabio, Analisa Hubungan Index Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Jakarta (JSX), London (FTSE), Tokyo (Nikkei) Dan Singapura (SSI), Suatu Studi Empiris Tahun 2000 – 2005, Paper Simposium Nasional Akuntansi 9 Padang, 2006
- http://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jakarta Islamic Index
- www.infovesta.com
- www.yahoo.finance.com
- http://www.economy.okezone.com
References
Gujarati, Damodar N, Basic Econometrics, 4th edition, McGraw-Hill, Inc, New York. 2003.
Hatter Mary Louise, Macroeconomics for Management, 2nd edition, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey, 1996.
Huda Nurul, Mustafa Edwin Nasution, Investasi Pada Pasar Modal Syariah, Kencana, 2007.
Laboratorium Komputasi Departemen Ilmu Ekonomi FEUI, Modul Analisa Software Ekonometrika. 2005
Lestari Murti, Pengaruh variabel makro terhadap return saham di Bursa Efek Jakarta Pendekatan beberapa model, Paper Seminar Nasional Akuntansi VIII, 2005
Roberts S Pindyck and Daniel, L Rubinfeld, 1998, Econometric Models and Economic Forecast, 4th edition, Irwin Mcgraw-hill, New York.
Nahrowi Djalal, Hardius Eko, Memahami Model ARCH dan GARCH, Bahan Kuliah Ekonometri 2, Program Ilmu Akuntansi, FEUI.
Riyanto, Bahan Kuliah Ekonometri 2, Program Pasca Ilmu Akuntansi, FEUI.
Ludovicus Sensi Wondabio, Analisa Hubungan Index Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) Jakarta (JSX), London (FTSE), Tokyo (Nikkei) Dan Singapura (SSI), Suatu Studi Empiris Tahun 2000 – 2005, Paper Simposium Nasional Akuntansi 9 Padang, 2006
http://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jakarta Islamic Index
www.infovesta.com
www.yahoo.finance.com