ANALISA PENGARUH KRISIS GLOBAL FINANCIAL TERHADAP JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX (JII) DAN INDEX HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG)
The financial crisis in the United State on September 2008 has created global impact to theÂ world economy, including the performace of capital markets. Most of market indexes around the world fall down significantly, including marketÂ indexes in Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI). There were five market index in BEI, namely IHSG, LQ 45, MBX, DBX,Â and JII. This research is mainly aim to examineÂ the influence of the US financial crisis to the performace of JII and IHSG. In addition, theÂ relation ofÂ JII and IHSG to DowJones Index, Tokyo Index, and Hongkong IndexÂ are also examined. To get the aim done,Â aÂ Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) is utilized. VAR is an appropriate model to examine a simultaneous relationship with capability to tract impulse response among variables. The research findings show the US financial crisis has created significant shocks toward JII and IHSG during September to October 2008. Both IHSG and JII has constantly decrease during 8 weeks, but IHS was getting recovered quicker than JII. The investment rather than speculation motive of the players in JII cound be the answer for this finding.
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Pusat Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Ekonomi Islam - P3EI
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