Main Article Content
Abstract
The role of oil in an economy is very crucial. This article measures the world oil price uncer-tainty based on conditional standard deviations. It focuses on the volatility of crude oil price in United Kingdom, Texas, and Dubai markets, from January, 1980 to May, 2010. It finds the evidence that asymmetric leverage effects are not found. It also finds that volatility process in returns to its mean only evidenced in Dubai. These findings have some important implications for Indonesia. The government might use the dynamic of oil price in Dubai market as a benchmark to set up its state budget to realize fiscal sustainability.
Keywords: Oil price, volatility, asymmetric leverage, fiscal sustainability
JEL classification numbers: C22, Q43
Keywords: Oil price, volatility, asymmetric leverage, fiscal sustainability
JEL classification numbers: C22, Q43
Article Details
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets by Center for Economic Studies, Universitas Islam Indonesia is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
Kuncoro, H. (2011). THE VOLATILITY OF WORLD CRUDE OIL PRICES. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 3(1), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.v3i1.pp%p