Main Article Content
Abstract
Purpose ― This paper aims to examine the extent to which monetary policy shocks (domestic and international) will affect the movement of the sectoral stock index in Malaysia.
Methods ― The monetary policy shocks are identified using a structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model to examine the propagation of both monetary policy shocks (domestic and international) on sectoral stock prices.
Findings ― The main results show that foreign monetary shocks significantly affect four sectoral stock indices: industrial and services, plantation, telecommunications, and utilities. In contrast, domestic monetary shocks impact three sectoral indices: industrial and services, technology, and utilities. However, domestic monetary policy shocks have a more dominant effect on the sectoral stock market in terms of magnitude.
Implication ― The analysis results provide policymakers, particularly Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM), with valuable insights into which sectors are most sensitive to monetary policy fluctuations. Additionally, the results are beneficial for investors, as the analysis can help them manage their assets more effectively by identifying which sectoral stock indices are most affected by both domestic and international monetary policy shocks, and by guiding them to make more accurate investment decisions.
Originality — First, it focuses specifically on sectoral indices, examining all 13 in Malaysia through the lens of theory, with particular emphasis on impulse-response analysis, which explores the cumulative effects of both domestic and foreign monetary policy shocks on these indices. Secondly, the study employs a lagged analysis using the SVAR model, providing a theoretical framework for comparison with other relevant studies.
Keywords
Article Details
Copyright (c) 2025 Ka Shing Lee, Zulkefly Abdul Karim

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References
Adrangi, B., Baade, H., & Raffiee, K. (2019). Dynamic responses of the economy to monetary shocks in the United Kingdom. Review of Economics & Finance, 15(None), 31–45.
Ali, G., Zaman, K., & Islam, T. (2018). Macroeconomic shocks and Malaysian tourism industry: evidence from a structural VAR Model. Iranian Economic Review, 22(4), 1113–1137. https://doi.org/10.22059/ier.2018.67878
Ali, I., & Hatta, Z. A. (2013). 2008 Economic crisis in Malaysia: Implications on the economy, society and safety nets. International Journal of Business and Technopreneurship, 3(2), 261–276. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/328303185_2008_Economics_Crisis_in_Malaysia_Implications_on_the_Economy_Society_and_Safety_Nets/citation/download
Anwar, S., & Nguyen, L. P. (2018). Channels of monetary policy transmission in Vietnam. Journal of Policy Modelling, 40(4), 709–729. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.02.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2018.02.004
Bacchiocchi, E., Castelnuovo, E., & Fanelli, L. (2018). Gimme a break! Identification and estimation of the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks in the United States. Macroeconomic Dynamics, 22(6), 1613–1651. https://doi.org/DOI: 10.1017/S1365100516000833 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1365100516000833
Bacha, O. I. (2008). The Islamic interbank money market and a dual banking system: the Malaysian experience. International Journal of Islamic and Middle Eastern Finance and Management, 1(3), 210–226. https://doi.org/10.1108/17538390810901140 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17538390810901140
Bahaludin, H., Abdullah, M., Lam, W. S., & Lam, W. H. (2019). The investigation on the impact of the financial crisis on Bursa Malaysia using the minimal spanning tree. Mathematics and Statistics, 7, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.13189/ms.2019.070701 DOI: https://doi.org/10.13189/ms.2019.070701
Baykara, S. (2021). The impact of monetary policy decisions on stock prices: An event study. Pressacademia, 13(1), 52–56. https://doi.org/10.17261/pressacademia.2021.1422 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2021.1422
Belcaid, K., & El Ghini, A. (2019). U.S., European, and Chinese economic policy uncertainty and Moroccan stock market volatility. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 20, e00128. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2019.e00128 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2019.e00128
Bhatti, G. A., Ziaei, S., & Raheman, A. (2015). Monetary and Fiscal policies variables interaction with stock returns in Malaysia. Science International, 27, 449–465.
Bredin, D., Gavin, C., & O’Reilly, G. (2005). US monetary policy announcements and Irish stock market volatility. Applied Financial Economics, 15(17), 1243–1250. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603100500390836 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09603100500390836
Bredin, D., Hyde, S., Nitzsche, D., & O’Reilly, G. (2009). European monetary policy surprises: the aggregate and sectoral stock market response. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 14(2), 156–171. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.341 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.341
Cai, D., Zhang, T., Han, K., & Liang, J. (2022). Economic policy uncertainty shocks and Chinese stock market volatility: an empirical analysis with SVAR. Complexity, 2022(1), 6944318. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6944318 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6944318
Chiang, T. C. (2021). Spillovers of U.S. market volatility and monetary policy uncertainty to global stock markets. The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 58, 101523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101523 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101523
Ha, J. (2021). Financial market spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks. Review of International Economics, 29(5), 1221–1274. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12542 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12542
Hadi, A. R. A., Yap, E. T. H., & Zainudin, Z. (2019). The effects of the relative strength of USD and overnight policy rate on the performance of the Malaysian stock market – evidence from 1980 through 2015. Contemporary Economics, 13(2), 175–186. https://doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.306 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.306
Handoyo, R. D., Jusoh, M., & Zaidi, M. A. S. (2015). Impact of monetary policy and fiscal policy on Indonesian stock market. Expert Journal of Economics, 3(2), 113–126. Retrieved from https://economics.expertjournals.com/23597704-312/
Hassan, H. (2024, January). Covid-19 long way from going away. Retrieved from https://www.themalaysianinsight.com/s/478677
Ibrahim, M. H. (2005). Sectoral effects of monetary policy: evidence from Malaysia. Asian Economic Journal, 19(1), 83–102. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2005.00205.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-8381.2005.00205.x
Kadir, S. U. S. A., & Tunggal, N. Z. (2015). The impact of macroeconomic variables toward agricultural productivity in Malaysia. South East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, 8(3), 21–30. Retrieved from https://seajbel.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/Econ-13.pdf
Kahler, L. (2008). The interaction between the stock market, monetary policy and inflation in both Singapore and Malaysia. Empirical Economic Bulletin, 1(1), 1–15. Retrieved from https://digitalcommons.bryant.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1009&context=eeb
Karim, Z. A., & Karim, B. A. (2016). Foreign shocks, monetary policy, and macroeconomic fluctuations in a small open economy: a SVAR study of Malaysia. Acta Universitatis Danubius. Œconomica, 12(3), 45–67. Retrieved from https://journals.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/oeconomica/article/view/3449/3274
Kishor, N. K., & Marfatia, H. A. (2013). The time-varying response of foreign stock markets to U.S. monetary policy surprises: Evidence from the Federal funds futures market. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 24, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2012.11.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2012.11.004
Law, S. H., & Ibrahim, M. H. (2014). The response of sectoral returns to macroeconomic shocks in the Malaysian stock market. Malaysian Journal of Economic Studies, 51(2), 183–199. Retrieved from https://mjes.um.edu.my/index.php/MJES/article/view/2826/1001
Lee, M. L. S. (2011). The 2008-09 global financial crisis: services to the rescue in Malaysia. Asian Journal of Business and Accounting, 4(1). Retrieved from https://ajba.um.edu.my/index.php/AJBA/article/view/2631
Mat Sari, N., Mirakhor, A., & Mohd Subky, K. H. (2017). Replacing the interest rate mechanism in monetary policy: case of Malaysia. In the 1st international colloquium on Islamic Banking and Islamic Finance.
Mishkin, F. S. (2007). The transmission mechanism and the role of asset prices in monetary policy. In Monetary Policy Strategy (pp. 59–74). The MIT Press. Retrieved from https://direct.mit.edu/books/book/3276/chapter/101642/The-Transmission-Mechanism-and-the-Role-of-Asset DOI: https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/7412.003.0006
Nechi, S., & Smaoui, H. E. (2019). Interbank offered rates in Islamic countries: Is the Islamic benchmark different from the conventional benchmarks? The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 74, 75–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2018.05.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2018.05.003
Nizamani, A. R., Abdul Karim, Z., Zaidi, M. A. S., & Khalid, N. (2016). The effectiveness of monetary policy in a small open economy: an SVAR study for Pakistan. International Journal of Economics and Management, 10, 279–296.
Nwakoby, C., & Alajekwu Udoka, B. (2016). Effect of monetary policy on Nigerian stock market performance. International Journal of Scientific Research and Management (IJSRM). Retrieved from https://www.ijsrm.net/index.php/ijsrm/article/view/548
Othman, A. N., & Masih, M. (2014). The different impact of conventional interest rates on Islamic stock market, Islamic banking and Islamic insurance: evidence from Malaysia. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/63285.html
Paul, P. (2020). The Time-varying effect of monetary policy on asset prices. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 102(4), 690–704. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00840 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00840
Pourkalbassi, F., Bahiraie, A., Hamzah, A., & Lee, C. (2011). On the exchange rates behaviour by PPP: a test on Malaysian Ringgit and US Dollar. African Journal of Business Management, 5(17), 7350–7356. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJBM10.1645 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5897/AJBM10.1645
Prabu A, E., Bhattacharyya, I., & Ray, P. (2016). Is the stock market impervious to monetary policy announcements: Evidence from emerging India. International Review of Economics & Finance, 46, 166–179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2016.09.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2016.09.007
Ramasamy, R., & Zangeneh, M. F. (2013). Convergence of Islamic and conventional interbank rates. Global Journal of Management and Business Research: C Finance, 13(3), 1–8. Retrieved from https://journalofbusiness.org/index.php/GJMBR/article/download/940/851/0
Siang, C. C., & Rayappan, P. (2023). A study on the effect of macroeconomic factors on stock market performance in Malaysia. E3S Web of Conferences, 389, 9037. https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202338909037 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202338909037
Sidek, N. Z. M., & Yusoff, M. (2009). An empirical analysis of the Malaysian ringgit equilibrium exchange rate and misalignment. Global Economy and Finance Journal, 2(2), 104–126. Retrieved from http://wbiaus.org/GEFJ.html
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