Main Article Content
Abstract
This paper attempts to analyse Rp/US$ and Rp/Yen exchange rates over the period 1983.2-2000.3. Using the Box-Jenkins approach, we tested various models to explain the behavior of Rp/US$ and Rp/Yen. The results supported both interest rate parity and purchasing power parity hypotheses for Rp/US$ exchange rates. In the case of Rp/Yen, however, the results supported purchasing-power parity hypothesis rather than that of interest rate parity. Moreover, Frenkel-Bilson, Dornbusch-Frankel, Hooper-Morton model cannot be applied to analyse Rp/Yen fluctuation. This study, accordingly, calls an urgency to stop a Bank Indonesia’s policy to restrict foreign exchange transactions to reduce the fluctuation of rupiah, as stated in Peraturan Bank Indonesia (PBI) No. 3/3/PBI/2001, since 12 Januari 2001.
Key words: valas (exchange rates), Box-Jenkins, purchasing power parity, interest rate parity.
Key words: valas (exchange rates), Box-Jenkins, purchasing power parity, interest rate parity.
Article Details
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgement of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgement of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets by Center for Economic Studies, Universitas Islam Indonesia is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
How to Cite
Kardoyo, H., & Kuncoro, M. (2009). Analisis Kurs Valas Dengan Pendekatan Box-Jenkins: Studi Empiris Rp/Us$ Dan Rp/Yen, 1983.2 – 2000.3. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.v7i1.654