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Abstract
The Indonesian Ministry of Health has reported an alarming increase in Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) cases, particularly in West Java Province. Given this trend, collaborative research and surveillance efforts are crucial to understanding and managing DHF cases in Indonesia. The panel data regression model in dengue fever cases will provide new insights into modeling. This research aimed to identify the most appropriate random effects model for estimating a dataset with four different variables. This study involved panel data variables on the effect of population density, percentage of poor people, percentage of households with access to clean water, and proper sanitation on DHF cases in West Java Province. This method emphasized selecting the best model from one-way and two-way Random Effects (RE) models and identifying what factors influenced the increase of DHF cases in West Java province. The best model obtained was a two-way RE Model with three significant variables. Based on the selected variables in the model, West Java Province needs to pay attention to the distribution of housing and economic activity in each district because population density is a crucial concern for the local government.
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References
Direktorat Jenderal Pencegahan dan Pengendalian Penyakit, “Info Kasus DBD sampai minggu ke 27 Tahun 2024.” Accessed: May 24, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://p2p.kemkes.go.id/update-data-dengue/#_h
J. Jajang, B. Pratikno, and M. Mashuri, “Modeling Dengue Fever by using Conditional Autoregressive Bessag-York-Mollie,” Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications, Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 101–113, 2022, doi: 10.29244/ijsa.v6i1p101-113.
Y.I. Jayadi et al, Comparative Study of Food Services Between State and Private Islamic Hospitals in Makassar,” Journal of Health Science and Prevention, Vol. 7, No. 1, pp. 59–73, 2023, doi: 10.29080/jhsp.v7i1.898.
H. Nishiura, “Mathematical and Statistical Analyses of the Spread of Dengue,” Dengue Bulletin, Vol. 30, pp. 51–67, 2006.
A. Abbasi, “Dengue Fever: A Statistical Analysis Regarding Awareness about Dengue among University Students in Azad Kashmir,” Journal of Healthcare Communications, Vol. 2, No. 1, pp. 1–8, 2017, doi: 10.4172/2472-1654.100041.
J.M. Wooldridge, Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA, USA: MIT Press, 2010.
R.A. Yaffee, “Primer for Panel Data Analysis.” Accessed: October 8, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://web.pdx.edu/~crkl/ec510/pda_yaffee.pdf
D.N. Gujarati and D.C. Porter, Basic Econometrics, 5th ed. New York, NY, USA: McGraw-Hill Inc, 2008.
R. Davidson and J.G. MacKinnon, Estimation and Inference in Econometrics. Oxford, England: Oxford University Press, 2021.
D. Asteriou and S.G. Hall, Applied Econometrics: A Modern Approach, 4th ed. London, England: Red Globe Press, 2021.
K.A. Nelson, R.J. Davis, D.R. Lutz, and W. Smith, “Optical Generation of Tunable Ultrasonic Waves,” Journal of Applied Physics, Vol. 53, No. 2, pp. 1144–1149, 2002, doi: 10.1063/1.329864.
V. Ratnasari, S.H. Audha, and A.T.R. Dani, “Statistical Modeling to Analyze Factors Affecting the Middle-Income Trap in Indonesia Using Panel Data Regression,’ MethodsX, Vol. 11, pp. 1–9, 2023, doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2023.102379.
A. Indrasetianingsih, K. Wasik, “Model Regresi Data Panel untuk Mengetahui Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Tingkat Kemiskinan di Pulau Madura,” Jurnal Gaussian, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 355–363, 2020, doi: 10.14710/j.gauss.9.3.355-363.
Z. Sun and J. Gou, “Panel Regression Method Based on Stata Analysis of Impact of Technology Innovation and Human Capital on Enterprise Value,” in Proceedings of the 2022 2nd International Conference on Business Administration and Data Science (BADS 2022), 2023, pp. 1307–1312.
Z. Martha, B. Susetyo, and M.N. Aidi, “Panel Data Regression Model for Case of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) in Bogor,” Global Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp. 741–746, 2016.
D.J. Gubler, “Dengue and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever,” Clinical Microbiology Review, Vol. 11, No. 3, pp. 480–496, 1998.
B.H. Baltagi, Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, 3rd ed. West Sussex, England: John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2005.
D.C. Montgomery, E.A. Peck, and G.G. Vining, Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis, 5th ed. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons Inc, 2012.
W.H. Greene, Econometric Analysis, 5th ed. Upper Saddle River, New Jersey, USA: Prentice Hall., 2003.
A.C. Rencher and G.B. Schaalje, Linear Models in Statistics, 2nd ed. Hoboken, NJ, USA: John Wiley & Sons Inc, 2008.
T. Amemiya, “The estimation of the variances in a variance-components model,” International Economic Review, Vol. 12, No. 1, pp.1–13, 1971, doi: 10.2307/2525492.
C. Hsiao, Analysis of Panel Data, 2nd ed. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, 2003.