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Abstract
The gradual disappearance of pastures due to overgrazing of cattle, high cost of meat (red and poultry) and gradual increasing domestic demand, so far, meat imports in Iran have been inevitable to meet domestic needs. In this article, the authors have used RSDAIDS model, the economic factors (meat prices and costs) and non-economic factors (prevalence of diseases) affecting the demand for meat (beef and poultry) during the years 2002-16 have been investigated. The results of this study shed light on Iran consumer preferences with regard to imported meat. This is the first study that analyzes the Iran meat demand differentiated by source.In this study, it was observed that Brazil, United Arab Emirates, Ireland and Turkey were the most gainer from an increase in the size of the imported meat market ofIran. Also, these countries had a competitive advantage compared with other export sources.
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References
- Andayani, S. R. M. and Tilley, D. S. (1997). Demand and competition among supply sources: The Indonesian fruit import market. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 29:279–289.
- Anonymous (2017). Deputy Director of Planning and Economic Affairs of the Ministry of Agriculture of the Islamic Republic of Iran, http://www.maj.ir
- Boumahdi, R., Chaaban, J. and Thomas, A. (2004). Import Demand Estimation with Country and Products Effects: Application of Multi-way Unbalanced Panel Data Models to Libanese Imports. Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, 3rd Ed., 3: 35-40
- Breusch, T. S. and Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47: 239-253.
- Capitello, R., Agnoli, L. and Begalli, D. (2015). Chinese import demand for wine: evidence from econometric estimations. Journal of Wine Research, 26:115-135.
- Cheng, Ya Hao, Zhifeng, Gao and Seale, J. (2015). Changing Structure of China’s Meat Imports. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14: 1081–91.
- Chern, W. S., Ishibashi, K., Taniguchi, K., Tokoyama, Y. and Pingali, P. (2003). Analysis of the food consumption of Japanese households. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome
- Deaton, A., and Muellbauer, J. (1980). An almost ideal demand system. American Economic Review, 70: 312-326.
- Eales, J. S. and Unnevehr, L. J. (1988). Demand for beef and chicken products: separability and structural change. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 70: 521-532.
- Giorgioni, G. and Holden, K. (2003). Does the Ricardian equivalence proposition hold in less developed countries? International Review of Applied Economics, 17 :209-221.
- Gómez, A., Jiménez. J. G. P. and Figueroa, G. F. (2015). Contribution of the Nafta countries in the Japanese Pork market. Journal Agraria,12:117-125
- Green, R. and Alston, J. M. (1990. Elasticities in AIDS models. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72: 442–45.
- Hausman, J. A. and Taylor, W. E. (1981). Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects. Econometrica, 49 :1377-1398.
- Hayes, D. J., Wahl, T. I. and Williams, G. W. (1990). Testing Restrictions on a Model of Japanese Meat Demand. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72: 556-566.
- Henneberry, S. R, and Seong-huyk, H. (2007). Meat Demand in South Korea: An Application of Restricted Source-Differentiated Almost Ideal Demand System Model.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 39:47-60.
- Levin, A., Chien-Fu, L., Chu, J. and Chia-Shang (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, 108: 1-24.
- Mekonnen, D. K., Fonsah., E. G. and Borgotti, B. (2011). US import demand for apple: source differentiated almost ideal demand system approach. International journal of Trade and Global Markets, 4: 372-382.
- Moschini, G. (1995). Units of Measurement And The Stone Index In Demand System Estimation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 77: 63-68.
- Parizan, V. and Esmaeili, A. (2008). Assessing Import Demand Factors of Livestock Products in Iran. Agricultural Economics, 2: 2008-5524 (in Persian).
- Pitts, E., and Herlihy, P. (1982). Perverse substitution relationships in demand studies: the example of butter and margarine. Journal of Agriculture Economics., 33:37-46.
- Porter, M. E. (1985). Competitive Advantage. Creating and sustaining superior performance. Macmillan Inc. London .
- Sun, L. and Niquidet, K. (2017). Elasticity of import demand for wood pellets by the European Union. Forest Policy and Economics, 81: 83-87.
- Thanagopal, T. and Félix, H. (2014). A restricted source differentiated almost ideal demand system, augmented with quality in the study of French imports”, Working Paper, No. 698, San Rafael, CA: Forum for Research and International Trade, http://www.freit.org/WorkingPapers/Papers/TradePolicyGeneral/FREIT698.pdf (accessed January 20, 2013).
- Yang, S., and Koo, W. W. (1994). Japanese meat import demand estimation with the source differentiated AIDS models. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 19: 396-408.
References
Andayani, S. R. M. and Tilley, D. S. (1997). Demand and competition among supply sources: The Indonesian fruit import market. Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, 29:279–289.
Anonymous (2017). Deputy Director of Planning and Economic Affairs of the Ministry of Agriculture of the Islamic Republic of Iran, http://www.maj.ir
Boumahdi, R., Chaaban, J. and Thomas, A. (2004). Import Demand Estimation with Country and Products Effects: Application of Multi-way Unbalanced Panel Data Models to Libanese Imports. Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, 3rd Ed., 3: 35-40
Breusch, T. S. and Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47: 239-253.
Capitello, R., Agnoli, L. and Begalli, D. (2015). Chinese import demand for wine: evidence from econometric estimations. Journal of Wine Research, 26:115-135.
Cheng, Ya Hao, Zhifeng, Gao and Seale, J. (2015). Changing Structure of China’s Meat Imports. Journal of Integrative Agriculture, 14: 1081–91.
Chern, W. S., Ishibashi, K., Taniguchi, K., Tokoyama, Y. and Pingali, P. (2003). Analysis of the food consumption of Japanese households. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Rome
Deaton, A., and Muellbauer, J. (1980). An almost ideal demand system. American Economic Review, 70: 312-326.
Eales, J. S. and Unnevehr, L. J. (1988). Demand for beef and chicken products: separability and structural change. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 70: 521-532.
Giorgioni, G. and Holden, K. (2003). Does the Ricardian equivalence proposition hold in less developed countries? International Review of Applied Economics, 17 :209-221.
Gómez, A., Jiménez. J. G. P. and Figueroa, G. F. (2015). Contribution of the Nafta countries in the Japanese Pork market. Journal Agraria,12:117-125
Green, R. and Alston, J. M. (1990. Elasticities in AIDS models. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72: 442–45.
Hausman, J. A. and Taylor, W. E. (1981). Panel Data and Unobservable Individual Effects. Econometrica, 49 :1377-1398.
Hayes, D. J., Wahl, T. I. and Williams, G. W. (1990). Testing Restrictions on a Model of Japanese Meat Demand. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 72: 556-566.
Henneberry, S. R, and Seong-huyk, H. (2007). Meat Demand in South Korea: An Application of Restricted Source-Differentiated Almost Ideal Demand System Model.” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 39:47-60.
Levin, A., Chien-Fu, L., Chu, J. and Chia-Shang (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, 108: 1-24.
Mekonnen, D. K., Fonsah., E. G. and Borgotti, B. (2011). US import demand for apple: source differentiated almost ideal demand system approach. International journal of Trade and Global Markets, 4: 372-382.
Moschini, G. (1995). Units of Measurement And The Stone Index In Demand System Estimation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 77: 63-68.
Parizan, V. and Esmaeili, A. (2008). Assessing Import Demand Factors of Livestock Products in Iran. Agricultural Economics, 2: 2008-5524 (in Persian).
Pitts, E., and Herlihy, P. (1982). Perverse substitution relationships in demand studies: the example of butter and margarine. Journal of Agriculture Economics., 33:37-46.
Porter, M. E. (1985). Competitive Advantage. Creating and sustaining superior performance. Macmillan Inc. London .
Sun, L. and Niquidet, K. (2017). Elasticity of import demand for wood pellets by the European Union. Forest Policy and Economics, 81: 83-87.
Thanagopal, T. and Félix, H. (2014). A restricted source differentiated almost ideal demand system, augmented with quality in the study of French imports”, Working Paper, No. 698, San Rafael, CA: Forum for Research and International Trade, http://www.freit.org/WorkingPapers/Papers/TradePolicyGeneral/FREIT698.pdf (accessed January 20, 2013).
Yang, S., and Koo, W. W. (1994). Japanese meat import demand estimation with the source differentiated AIDS models. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 19: 396-408.