Main Article Content
Abstract
Purpose — This study examines how economic growth, green finance, and renewable energy affect environmental quality (CO2 emissions) under the Environment Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis framework.
Methods — This study uses data from ASEAN-6 developing countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Cambodia, from 2000 to 2020. It employs Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), which is widely used for time series analysis since it can capture the short-run and long-run effects among variables.
Findings — The result shows the presence of the EKC Hypothesis in ASEAN developing countries. Green Finance and Renewable Energy reduce CO2 emissions only in the long run. In contrast, in the short run, Green Finance shows no effect in lowering CO2 Emissions due to initial costs, infrastructure challenges, market dynamics, and delayed policy implementation; the effect seems to increase in the long run as economies evolve, technologies mature, and awareness of environmental issues rises within emerging economies.
Implication — This study suggests that ASEAN developing countries should enhance their green finance efforts and expedite the transition to renewable energy by attracting additional investments in green finance and renewable energy transition. Governments in the Southeast Asian region must improve their policies and laws.
Originality — Revisiting the EKC hypothesis by including Green Finance within the ASEAN-6 emerging countries, which has been scarcely conducted in recent literature, this study contributes to the region's policymakers regarding green finance allocation and its relationship to environmental quality.
Keywords
Article Details
Copyright (c) 2025 Isnaini Nuzula Agustin, Rizky Adi Mahendra, Hesniati Hesniati

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References
Adeel-Farooq, R. M., Raji, J. O., & Adeleye, B. N. (2020). Economic Growth and Methane Emission: Testing The EKC Hypothesis in ASEAN Economies. Management of Environmental Quality: An International Journal, 32(2), 277–289. https://doi.org/10.1108/MEQ-07-2020-0149
Ahmed, N., Areche, F., Sheikh, A., & Lahiani, A. (2022). Green Finance and Green Energy Nexus in ASEAN Countries: A Bootstrap Panel Causality Test. Energies, 15(14), 5068. https://doi.org/10.3390/en15145068
Ahmed, S., Abdi, A. H., Sodal, M., Yusuf, O. A., & Mohamud, M. H. (2025). Assessing the Energy-Economy-Environment Nexus in Somalia: The Impact of Agricultural Value Added on CO2 Emissions. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 15(1), 221-232.
Altaf, A., Anwar, M. A., Shahzad, U., & Bilan, Y. (2025). Exploring the Nexus among Green Finance, Renewable Energy, and Environmental Sustainability: Evidence from OECD Economies. Renewable Energy, 122589.
Anwar, A., Siddique, M., Dogan, E., & Sharif, A. (2021). The Moderating Role of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy in Environment-Income Nexus for ASEAN Countries: Evidence from Method of Moments Quantile Regression. Renewable Energy, 164, 956–967. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2020.09.128
Bahmani-Oskooee, M., Akhtar, P., Ullah, S., & Majeed, M. T. (2020). Exchange Rate Risk and Uncertainty and Trade Flows: Asymmetric Evidence from Asia. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 13(6), 128. https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm13060128
Baskaya, M. M., Samour, A., & Tursoy, T. (2022). The Financial Inclusion, Renewable Energy and CO2 Emissions Nexus in The BRICS Nations: New Evidence Based on The Method of Moments Quantile Regression. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 20(3), 2577–2595. https://doi.org/10.15666/aeer/2003_25772595
Bhutta, A. I., Ullah, M. R., Sultan, J., Riaz, A., & Sheikh, M. F. (2022). Impact of Green Energy Production, Green Innovation, Financial Development on Environment Quality: A Role of Country Governance in Pakistan. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 12(1), 316–326. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.11986
Candy, C., Robin, R., Sativa, E., Septiana, S., Can, H., & Alice, A. (2022). Fintech in the time of COVID-19: Conceptual Overview. Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan, Dan Manajemen, 3(3), 253-262.
Chan, T. H., Saqib, A., & Nuzula, A. I. (2024). Assessing the Carbon Footprints of Income Growth, Green Finance, Institutional Quality and Renewable Energy Consumption in Emerging Asian Economies. Capital Markets Review, 32(1), 1-27.
Claire, B., & Widyawati, D. (2023). Impact of Industrialization and Renewable Energy on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in 9 ASEAN Countries. Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 15(2), 183–198. https://doi.org/10.20885/ejem.vol15.iss2.art6
Dong, F., Wang, Y., Su, B., Hua, Y., & Zhang, Y. (2019). The Process of Peak CO2 Emissions in Developed Economies: A Perspective of Industrialization and Urbanization. Resources, Conservation and Recycling, 141, 61–75. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2018.10.010
Dong, H., Xue, M., Xiao, Y., & Liu, Y. (2021). Do Carbon Emissions Impact The Health of Residents? Considering China’s Industrialization and Urbanization. Science of The Total Environment, 758, 143688. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143688
Filonchyk, M., Peterson, M. P., Zhang, L., Hurynovich, V., & He, Y. (2024). Greenhouse gas emissions and global climate change: Examining the influence of CO2, CH4, and N2O. Science of The Total Environment, 935, 173359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173359
Grossman, G. M., & Krueger, A. B. (1995). Economic Growth and The Environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(2), 353–377. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443
Guo, C.-Q., Wang, X., Cao, D.-D., & Hou, Y.-G. (2022). The Impact of Green Finance on Carbon Emission--Analysis Based on Mediation Effect and Spatial Effect. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.844988
Guzel, A. E., & Okumus, İ. (2020). Revisiting The Pollution Haven Hypothesis in ASEAN-5 Countries: New Insights from Panel Data Analysis. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(15), 18157–18167. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08317-y
Han, S., & Jun, H. (2023). Growth, emissions, and climate finance nexus for sustainable development: Revisiting the environmental Kuznets curve. Sustainable Development, 31(1), 510–527. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2406
Hidranto, F. (2023). Dekarbonisasi Harga Mati. INDONESIA.GO.ID.
Hu, J., Chen, H., Dinis, F., & Xiang, G. (2023). Nexus Among Green Finance, Technological Innovation, Green Fiscal Policy, and CO2 Emissions: A Conditional Process Analysis. Ecological Indicators, 154, 110706. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110706
Ibrahiem, D. M. (2020). Do Technological Innovations and Financial Development Improve Environmental Quality in Egypt? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27(10), 10869–10881. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-07585-7
Johnson, D. L., Ambrose, S. H., Bassett, T. J., Bowen, M. L., Crummey, D. E., Isaacson, J. S., Johnson, D. N., Lamb, P., Saul, M., & Winter-Nelson, A. E. (1997). Meanings of Environmental Terms. Journal of Environmental Quality, 26(3), 581–589. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq1997.00472425002600030002x
Kassi, D. F., & Li, Y. (2025). Does green financing benefit the development of renewable energy capacities and environmental quality? Evidence from Chinese provinces. Renewable Energy, 122482.
Khan, I., & Hou, F. (2021). Does Multilateral Environmental Diplomacy Improve Environmental Quality? The Case of The United States. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(18), 23310–23322. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-12005-2
Khan, S., Akbar, A., Nasim, I., Hedvičáková, M., & Bashir, F. (2022). Green Finance Development and Environmental Sustainability: A Panel Data Analysis. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.1039705
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. The American Economic Review, 45(1), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118443
Limanseto, H. (2023). Sebagai Salah Satu Titik Terang Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Global, ASEAN juga Tekankan Pentingnya Upaya Inklusif dan Kolaboratif dari Sektor Swasta. Kementerian Koordinator Bidang Perekonomian Republik Indonesia.
Massagony, A., & Budiono. (2023). Is the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis valid on CO2 emissions in Indonesia? International Journal of Environmental Studies, 80(1), 20–31. https://doi.org/10.1080/00207233.2022.2029097
Nguyen, T. K. O., Le, Q. T., Kanabkaew, T., Chitaporpan, S., & Le, T. N. H. (2020). Introduction to Environmental Management and Services. In TORUS 3 – Toward an Open Resource Using Services (pp. 1–16). Wiley. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119720522.ch1
Novia, J., & Candy, C. (2023). Pengaruh Green Investment Dalam Financial Performance: Efek Moderasi dari Environmental Policy. Widya Cipta: Jurnal Sekretari Dan Manajemen, 7(2), 65–73. https://doi.org/10.31294/widyacipta.v7i2.15567
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. P. (1999). Pooled mean group estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94(446), 621-634.
Putri, A. M. H. (2023, September). Bursa Karbon, Ini Bukti Komitmen RI Pada Perubahan Iklim. CNBC Indonesia.
Raghutla, C., & Kolati, Y. (2023). Does Renewable Energy Improve Environmental Quality? Evidence From RECAI Countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(45), 100717–100730. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-29402-y
Raza, S. A., & Shah, N. (2018). Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in G7 Countries: The Role of Renewable Energy Consumption and Trade. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 25(27), 26965–26977. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-2673-z
Rehman, A., Ma, H., & Ozturk, I. (2021). Do Industrialization, Energy Importations, and Economic Progress Influence Carbon Emissions in Pakistan? Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(33), 45840–45852. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13916-4
Ridwan, M., Urbee, A. J., Voumik, L. C., Das, M. K., Rashid, M., & Esquivias, M. A. (2024). Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis with urbanization, industrialization, and the service sector for six South Asian Countries: Fresh evidence from Driscoll-Kraay standard error. Research in Globalization, 8, 100223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100223
Sadiq, M., Chau, K. Y., Ha, N. T. T., Phan, T. T. H., Ngo, T. Q., & Huy, P. Q. (2024). The impact of green finance, eco-innovation, renewable energy, and carbon taxes on CO2 emissions in BRICS countries: Evidence from CS ARDL estimation. Geoscience Frontiers, 15(4), 101689. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2023.101689
Sohail, S., Ullah, S., & Javid, A. Y. (2022). Fiscal Decentralization, Institutional Quality, and Government Size: An Asymmetry Analysis for Asian Economies. Transnational Corporations Review, 14(3), 256–270. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2021.1956855
Tahir, T., Luni, T., Majeed, M. T., & Zafar, A. (2021). The Impact of Financial Development and Globalization on Environmental Quality: Evidence from South Asian Economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(7), 8088–8101. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-11198-w
Triki, R., Kahouli, B., Tissaoui, K., & Tlili, H. (2023). Assessing the Link between Environmental Quality, Green Finance, Health Expenditure, Renewable Energy, and Technology Innovation. Sustainability, 15(5), 4286. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15054286
Usman, O., Iorember, P. T., Ozturk, I., & Bekun, F. V. (2022). Examining the Interaction Effect of Control of Corruption and Income Level on Environmental Quality in Africa. Sustainability, 14(18), 11391. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811391
Wang, H., Alfryyan, N., Al-Buriahi, M. S., Khan, Y. A., Alhomrani, M., Alamri, A. S., Azhar, M., & Abbas, S. Z. (2022). Dynamic Linkages Between Developing Economy and Environmental Pollution: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag Statistical Approach. Frontiers in Environmental Science, 10. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.939349
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