Main Article Content
Abstract
Purpose – This study examines the impact of digital infrastructure quality on stock market capitalization and evaluates the moderating role of foreign direct investment (FDI).
Methods – Using panel data from 10 countries over the period 2012–2023, the study employs random effects estimation with robust standard errors to ensure consistency under heteroskedasticity.
Findings – The results show that fixed broadband significantly enhances stock market capitalization, while internet usage is statistically insignificant. High-technology exports exhibit a negative association with market capitalization, whereas FDI contributes positively and its interaction with digitalization indicates a declining marginal effect of internet usage at higher levels of FDI.
Implication – This finding emphasizes that digital quality is more important than access alone in promoting financial market development.
Originality – This study advances the literature by focusing on digital infrastructure quality rather than digital adoption and by providing new cross-country evidence on the joint roles of digitalization, FDI, and high-technology exports in stock market development
Abstrak
Tujuan – Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh kualitas infrastruktur digital terhadap kapitalisasi pasar saham serta peran moderasi investasi asing langsung (FDI).
Metode – Penelitian menggunakan data panel dari 10 negara pada periode 2012–2023 dengan pendekatan random effects dan robust standard errors untuk meningkatkan ketahanan estimasi.
Temuan – Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa fixed broadband berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap kapitalisasi pasar saham, sementara penggunaan internet tidak signifikan. Ekspor teknologi tinggi berhubungan negatif dengan kapitalisasi pasar, sedangkan FDI berkontribusi positif dan efek marginal penggunaan internet cenderung menurun pada tingkat FDI yang lebih tinggi.
Implikasi – Temuan ini menekankan bahwa kualitas digital lebih penting dibandingkan akses semata dalam mendorong perkembangan pasar keuangan.
Orisinalitas – Studi ini memperkaya literatur dengan berfokus pada kualitas infrastruktur digital, bukan sekadar adopsi digital, serta memberikan bukti lintas negara mengenai peran digitalisasi, FDI, dan ekspor teknologi tinggi dalam mendorong perkembangan pasar saham.
Keywords
Article Details
Copyright (c) 2026 Saeed Saif, Heri Sudarsono, Hashem A. A. Saif, Arij Ben Rhouma

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
References
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References
Abadie, A., Athey, S., Imbens, G. W., & Wooldridge, J. M. (2022). When Should You Adjust Standard Errors for Clustering? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 138(1), 1–35. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac038 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac038
Akerlof, G. A. (1970). Accessibility support: If you experience accessibility issues with this file, report them here The Market for “Lemons”: Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism. In Source: The Quarterly Journal of Economics (Vol. 84, Number 3). https://about.jstor.org/terms DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1879431
Alfaro, L., Chanda, A., Kalemli-Ozcan, S., & Sayek, S. (2004). FDI and economic growth: the role of local financial markets. Journal of International Economics, 64(1), 89–112. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(03)00081-3 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(03)00081-3
Babarinde, G. F. (2025). Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Capital Market Development in the MINT Economies: A Reflection of Complementarity or Substitutability Hypothesis? https://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5956254 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5956254
Baltagi, B. H. (2021). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (6th ed.). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53953-5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53953-5
Bayar, Y., Gavriletea, M. D., & Păun, D. (2021). Impact of mobile phones and internet use on financial inclusion: Empirical evidence from the EU post-communist countries. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 27(3), 722–741. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2021.14508 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2021.14508
Bell, A., & Jones, K. (2015). Explaining Fixed Effects: Random Effects Modeling of Time-Series Cross-Sectional and Panel Data. Political Science Research and Methods, 3(1), 133–153. https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2014.7 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/psrm.2014.7
Blankespoor, E., deHaan, E., & Marinovic, I. (2020). Disclosure processing costs, investors’ information choice, and equity market outcomes: A review. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 70(2–3), 101344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2020.101344 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacceco.2020.101344
Brambor, T., Clark, W. R., & Golder, M. (2006). Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses. Political Analysis, 14(1), 63–82. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpi014 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpi014
Chettri, K. K., & Bhattarai, J. K. (2023). Foreign direct investment and stock market development in Nepal. Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 7(2), 277–292. https://doi.org/10.1108/ajeb-02-2022-0018 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEB-02-2022-0018
Drapkin, I. M., Vasilyeva, R. I., & Kandalintseva, A. A. (2024). Determinants of high-tech export: evidence from a cross-country analysis. R-Economy, 10(1), 41–54. https://doi.org/10.15826/recon.2024.10.1.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.15826/recon.2024.10.1.003
Dwi Abdulah Rusli Suseno, D. A. R. (2025). Toward a Digitalized Economy: The Impact of Digital Index Performance on The Economic Growth in Indonesia. EKO-REGIONAL: Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah, (Vol 20 No 1 (2025)), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.32424/er.v20i1.13650 DOI: https://doi.org/10.32424/er.v20i1.13650
Fagerberg, J. (1988). International Competitiveness. The Economic Journal, 98(391), 355. https://doi.org/10.2307/2233372 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2233372
Farboodi, M., & Veldkamp, L. (2020). Long-Run Growth of Financial Data Technology. American Economic Review, 110(8), 2485–2523. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20171349 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20171349
Feng, Y., Coyte, P., Peng, Z., & Zhang, Z. (2025). Internet use and household financial market participation: Evidence from China. Applied Economics, 57, 9480–9494. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2024.2420823 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2024.2420823
Firmansyah, M., Boedirochminarni, A., Yuli, S. B. C., & Flejterski, S. (2025). The Role of Economic Digitalization on Portfolio Investment. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan, 10(2), 269–281. https://doi.org/10.20473/jiet.v10i2.75537 DOI: https://doi.org/10.20473/jiet.v10i2.75537
Franklin Allen, & Douglas Gale. (1999). Comparing Financial Systems. The MIT Press. https://mitpress.mit.edu/9780262511254/comparing-financial-systems/
Frederic S Mishkin. (2022). Economics of Money, Banking, and Financial Markets (14th ed.). Pearson. https://www.pearson.com/store/en-gb/p/economics-of-money-banking-and-financial-markets-the-global-edition/P200000005052
Gheraia, Z. (2024). What are the effects of ICT diffusion on stock market in emerging countries? Journal of Infrastructure Policy and Development, 8(10), 4931. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i10.4931 DOI: https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v8i10.4931
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He, J., Mu, Y., Wang, C., & Mao, Y. (2024). Impact of digital infrastructure construction on financial development: Evidence from the “broadband China” Strategy. Heliyon, 10(15). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35262 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e35262
HVIDE, H. K., MELING, T. G., MOGSTAD, M., & VESTAD, O. L. (2024). Broadband Internet and the Stock Market Investments of Individual Investors. The Journal of Finance, 79(3), 2163–2194. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13335 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13335
Igwilo, J. I., & Sibindi, A. B. (2022). ICT Adoption and Stock Market Development: Empirical Evidence Using a Panel of African Countries. Risks, 10(2). https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10020025 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/risks10020025
International Telecommunication Union. (2024). Measuring Digital Development: Facts and Figures 2024. https://www.itu.int/hub/publication/d-ind-ict_mdd-2024-1/
Jeffrey M. Wooldridge. (2010). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. MIT Press.
Lall, S. (2000). The Technological Structure and Performance of Developing Country Manufactured Exports, 1985‐98. Oxford Development Studies, 28(3), 337–369. https://doi.org/10.1080/713688318 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/713688318
Lee, S., Alford, M., Cresson, J., & Gardner, L. (2017). The Effects of Information Communication Technology on Stock Market Capitalization: A Panel Data Analysis. Business and Economic Research, 7(1), 261. https://doi.org/10.5296/ber.v7i1.10936 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5296/ber.v7i1.10936
Levine, R. (2002). Bank-Based or Market-Based Financial Systems: Which Is Better? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 11(4), 398–428. https://doi.org/10.1006/jfin.2002.0341 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1006/jfin.2002.0341
Levine, R. (2004). Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence. https://doi.org/10.3386/w10766 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w10766
Li, W., Li, T., Jiang, D., & Zhang, X. (2024). Bridging the information gap: How digitalization shapes stock price informativeness. Journal of Financial Stability, 71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101217 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101217
Ma, R., Guo, F., & Li, D. (2024). Can public data availability affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China. International Review of Financial Analysis, 94, 103270. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103270 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103270
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Nguyen, C. P., Su, T. D., & Doytch, N. (2020). The drivers of financial development: Global evidence from internet and mobile usage. Information Economics and Policy, 53, 100–892. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.infoecopol.2020.100892 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.infoecopol.2020.100892
Otuya, S. (2026). Globalization and stock market performance in emerging economies: A study of market trends and dynamics in Nigeria. Accounting, 12(1), 69–76. https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ac.2025.8.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5267/j.ac.2025.8.001
Özsoy, 2026. (2020). The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on the Export of High-Technology Products: The Role of Financial Development and Regulatory Quality. Balıkesir Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(44), 959–975. https://doi.org/10.31795/baunsobed.686447 DOI: https://doi.org/10.31795/baunsobed.686447
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